SA Not In Third Wave Yet, says Dept

The Department of Health, while reporting it's daily Covid numbers, has said that while cases are increasing, we are not in the third wave, yet.

From 26 April to 2 May, an increase of 8593 cases was seen and from 3 May to 9 May, 12 531 new cases were reported. This indicated a 46% increase.

The country also hit another "milestone" as we reached 1.6 million cases with the total cases currently standing at 1 602 031.

The Department's statement further stated that the 14-days comparisons also showed that the cases increased from 17 017 to 21 124 cases in the last 14 days, an overall 24% increase.

According to the department, all provinces showed a positive percentage increase with the Northern Cape showing a 68% peak in the last seven days, followed by Gauteng at 63%, Limpopo at 47%, North West at 42% and the Western Cape at 39%.

As much as these figures are worrying, our resurgence dashboard, which was developed by the South African COVID-19 Modelling Consortium, which is updated thrice a week, still shows that we have not, as the country reached a resurgence threshold though some districts in the country are fast approaching the threshold.

Deaths as a result of Covid-19 have increased by 18.2% over the last week with the death toll currently standing at 54 968.

"However, the 14-days comparison showed the deaths decreased by 28.93% to 587 in the last 14 days compared to 826 in the preceding 14 days,” the department said, adding that the cumulative case fatality ratio is 3.43%."

The department is now doing the work to update the resurgence plans in all provinces now that cases are increasing. These plans mainly include case management, contact tracing, oxygen availability, bed capacity, respiratory support equipment and human resources.

As the country, we are on high alert, and we know that the main drivers of the new wave will either be the resurgence of new variants and/or the fatigue from adherence to non-pharmaceutical interventions.

Government is also engaging with the genomic sequencing team and this will help them pick up new variants earlier.

Vaccine Rollout

So far 430 730 vaccines have been administered.

Phase 2 is about to kick off on Monday with people aged 60 years and older being allowed to take the vaccine.

There is however some anxiety and uncertainty when it comes to how phase 2 will go.

“So we want to assure South Africans that we have not yet hit the third wave however we are at risk and we hence need to be on heightened vigilance as a country"

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